Although opinions differ on whether Chávez's rule should
be characterized as authoritarian or democratic, just about
everyone appears to agree that, in contrast to his predecessors,
Chávez has made the welfare of the Venezuelan poor his
top priority. His government, the thinking goes, has provided
subsidized food to low income families, redistributed land
and wealth, and poured money from Venezuela's booming oil
industry into health and education programs. Unfortunately,
it is wrong, says Francisco Rodríguez, Assistant Professor
of Economics and Latin American Studies at Wesleyan University.
In an article published by Foreign Affairs, Rodriguez, who
was Chief Economist of the Venezuelan National Assembly from
2000 to 2004, says that "neither official statistics nor independent
estimates show any evidence that Chávez has reoriented
state priorities to benefit the poor. Most health and human
development indicators have shown no significant improvement
beyond that which is normal in the midst of an oil boom. Indeed,
some have deteriorated worryingly, and official estimates
indicate that income inequality has increased. The 'Chávez
is good for the poor' hypothesis is inconsistent with the
facts."
Under the title "An Empty Revolution, the Unfulfilled Promises
of Hugo Chávez," the article states that by late 2007,
"Chávez's economic model had begun to unravel" and
the growing economic crisis is the predictable result of the
gross mismanagement of the economy by Chávez's economic
team.
"For the first time since early 2004, a majority of voters
claimed that both their personal situation and the country's
situation had worsened during the preceding year. Scarcities
in basic foodstuffs, such as milk, black beans, and sardines,
were chronic, and the difference between the official and
the black-market exchange rate reached 215 percent."