CARACAS, Wednesday January 28, 2009 | Update
According to the Central Bank, Venezuela's inflation rate in 2008 was 30.9 percent (Photo: Nicola Rocco)
Economy
Official data suggest that Venezuelan households have started
to experience an economic drama that includes spending cuts
and other austerity measures.
As of the second half of 2008, the world crisis has not hit
Venezuelans seriously -even though the government has
not ruled out the possibility that the effects of the economic
meltdown may appear in the future. Rather, inflation, a sort
of monster that the government has failed to defeat, is having
a dreadful impact on the Venezuelan economy.
At the end of 2008, the Central Bank of Venezuela (BCV) published
some disappointing news: the purchasing power of the low-income
sectors -which represent more than 20 percent of the population-
fell 3.7 percent in real terms between November 2007 and November
2008.
However, the news was bad not only for low-income sectors,
but also for all Venezuelan households in average.
According to the figures released by the official National
Statistics Institute (INE) concerning the first half of 2008,
the early warning signals on deteriorating purchasing power
were apparent in that period. The average household income
grew only 4 percent in real terms, compared to 11 percent
in the same period of 2007.
Based on the data provided by the INE, the average household
income in Venezuela is VEB 1,895 (USD 881.4). However, given
the impact of inflation, the real average household is VEB
1,618 (USD 752.56).
According to the BCV report, Venezuela's inflation rate in
2008 was 30.9 percent, which is the largest increase in the
last twelve years. Climbing consumer prices have overshadowed
the economic boom recorded in recent years amidst the thriving
prices of oil, which is Venezuela's major source of revenues.
The purchasing power of low-income sectors has vanished gradually
in the midst of an economic boom. In May 2008, the government
increased minimum wages by 30 percent. As a result, minimum
wages amounted to VEB 799.23 (USD 371.73) a month, which only
afforded 48.5 percent of basic expenses.
Just seven months later, one minimum wage affords only 40.3
percent of basic family expenses (including housing, food,
health and education). The INE estimated that the basic family
basket stood at VEB 1,979.8 (USD 920.83) in December 2008.
Under the present administration, minimum wages have increased,
but inflation has climbed at a faster pace. As a result, wage
raises have lost ground to skyrocketing prices.
Under the serious impact of inflation, in December 2008,
365,592 people who had not shown any interest in working changed
their minds and decided to find a job, as reported by the
INE.
Translated by
Gerardo Cárdenas
Suhelis Tejero Puntes
EL UNIVERSAL
05:40 PM. Economy. The Venezuelan government has explained that ongoing recession in Venezuela is the result of the "crisis of capitalism." That is, falling oil prices is because US and European economies are in troubles. However, an in-depth view shows that the country faces problems beyond volatility of the oil barrel. In 2004-2008, the Venezuelan economy showed a pattern where high oil prices ensured high growth thanks to public spending. This is not the case any more. Oil brightness is a requisite, yet scanty condition.