ESPACIO PUBLICITARIO
CARACAS, Monday December 31, 2012 | Update
 
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CHÁVEZ'S HEALTH

Dieterich: Chavezism without Chávez is actually possible

The political expert estimated that Chavezism will remain in power for at least one presidential term. "Then, it will tend to follow the path of Venezuelan Acción Democrática party: it will stagnate and lose competitiveness"

GABRIELA TURZI VEGAS |  EL UNIVERSAL
Monday December 31, 2012  05:42 PM
Heinz Dieterich, the German sociologist viewed as Hugo Chávez's mentor, spoke about the possibility of "Chavezism without Chávez," explaining that such political trend is likely to remain in place because "its projects meet some modernization needs of the market economy and the national governance system." He added that Chavezism's projects are a "working model" which, in his view, will continue under Vice-President Nicolás Maduro.

Dieterich, who is credited with creating the concept of "21st Century Socialism," however, told Chilean newspaper La Tercera that Chavezism without Chávez may not become true, because projects like Chavezism and Peronism are marked by the unique features of the "personality of their creators" and take hold "under circumstances" that are "unrepeatable."

As for Chávez's move to appoint Maduro as a possible successor, Dieterich said the Venezuelan president based on three reasons: "1) He trusts that Maduro is the dolphin that most faithfully will seek to continue his political project (either the Bolivarian (revolution) or Chavezism); 2) Maduro is popular among people, and 3) Similarly, he can win elections against (opposition leader Henrique) Capriles."

Conversely, Dieterich warned that National Assembly Speaker Diosdado Cabello was ruled out as Chávez's successor because "he is not suitable for public activities, as he is a lousy speaker; he knows nothing about uttering a cohesive argument and lacks charisma." Dieterich stated further that Cabello is "ambitious and not very ethical and, therefore, not loyal." Although he stated that "he may be useful as a minister."

Dieterich estimated that Chavezism may remain in power for at least one presidential term. "Then, it will tend to follow the path of Venezuelan Acción Democrática party: it will stagnate and lose competitiveness. Anyway, the country will continue with the typical bipartisan political governance structure that characterizes capitalism today and that, in fact, never disappeared in Venezuela."

Survival chances "are slim"

Dieterich, on the other hand, stated that "it is impossible that (Chávez) takes office as president again." He added that the Head of State, reelected in the elections on October 7, suffers "a rapidly spreading cancer."

The political expert stressed he has a relationship of "friendship" and "collaboration" with Chávez.
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Is protest over?

That political protest in Venezuela has lost momentum seems pretty obvious: people are no longer building barricades to block off streets near Plaza Francia in Altamira (eastern Caracas), an anti-government stronghold; no new images have been shown of brave and dashing protesters with bandanna-covered faces clashing with the National Guard in San Cristóbal, in the western state of Táchira; and those who dreamed of a horde of "Gochos" (Tachirans) descending  in an avalanche to stir up revolt in Caracas have been left with no option but to wake up to reality.

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