Dieterich: Chavezism without Chávez is actually possible
The political expert estimated that Chavezism will remain in power for at least one presidential term. "Then, it will tend to follow the path of Venezuelan Acción Democrática party: it will stagnate and lose competitiveness"
Dieterich, who is credited with creating the concept of "21st Century Socialism," however, told Chilean newspaper La Tercera that Chavezism without Chávez may not become true, because projects like Chavezism and Peronism are marked by the unique features of the "personality of their creators" and take hold "under circumstances" that are "unrepeatable."
As for Chávez's move to appoint Maduro as a possible successor, Dieterich said the Venezuelan president based on three reasons: "1) He trusts that Maduro is the dolphin that most faithfully will seek to continue his political project (either the Bolivarian (revolution) or Chavezism); 2) Maduro is popular among people, and 3) Similarly, he can win elections against (opposition leader Henrique) Capriles."
Conversely, Dieterich warned that National Assembly Speaker Diosdado Cabello was ruled out as Chávez's successor because "he is not suitable for public activities, as he is a lousy speaker; he knows nothing about uttering a cohesive argument and lacks charisma." Dieterich stated further that Cabello is "ambitious and not very ethical and, therefore, not loyal." Although he stated that "he may be useful as a minister."
Dieterich estimated that Chavezism may remain in power for at least one presidential term. "Then, it will tend to follow the path of Venezuelan Acción Democrática party: it will stagnate and lose competitiveness. Anyway, the country will continue with the typical bipartisan political governance structure that characterizes capitalism today and that, in fact, never disappeared in Venezuela."
Survival chances "are slim"
Dieterich, on the other hand, stated that "it is impossible that (Chávez) takes office as president again." He added that the Head of State, reelected in the elections on October 7, suffers "a rapidly spreading cancer."
The political expert stressed he has a relationship of "friendship" and "collaboration" with Chávez.
President Nicolás Maduro is not only the heir to the throne, but also to an economic crisis which demanded urgent measures to rectify the course. The crisis showed up in two aspects: a 50% inflation estimate, and shortage of staples ranging between 70% and 98%. These issues might hit the President's poor popularity; considering his feeble electoral victory of 1% over his challenger.